Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.Ī positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold).
Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. This maker of graphics chips for gaming and artificial intelligence is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.30 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +41.3%. While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. The earnings report, which is expected to be released on May 25, 2022, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The market expects Nvidia (NVDA) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended April 2022.
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